Obama cambia conservadores por mujeres

En los últimos dos días los micrófonos demócratas, habituales en todos los programas políticos de televisión se han cebado con el embarazo de la hija de la Gobernadora Palin, de una forma hipócrita y mezquina. Su intención parecía ser desgastar ese voto conservador, y sobre todo esa ilusión, que la elección de Palin ha traido a las filas republicanas.

Esta vez el Partido Republicano ha tardado en responder, o lo ha hecho sin mucha claridad en el mensaje, quizás la mejor respuesta es este video que hoy han lanzado y que tendreis que ver en la página de la campaña

Por eso sorprende el nuevo spot de radio que habla directmente del derecho al aborto. Algo que los demócratas trataban de evitar durante la campaña.

El texto del anuncio de radio emitido en 7 de los estados en cuestión dice literalmente“Let me tell you: If Roe vs. Wade is overturned, the lives and health of women will be put at risk. That’s why this election is so important,” says the nurse-practitioner who narrates Obama’s ad. “John McCain’s out of touch with women today. McCain wants to take away our right to choose. That’s what women need to understand. That’s how high the stakes are.”

Al final va a resultar que lo imposible, que una votante de Hillary votara por Palin, no era tan difícil y el Partido Demócrata está dispuesto a correr un riesgo grandísimo, la movilización de la base social conservadora que si se lo propone puede llegar a ser tremendamente activa y eficaz, con tal de no perder el voto de la mujer.

El discurso de Obama no cambia la intención de voto

Al menos eso dice el tracking de Gallup realizado ayer que repite el resultado de hace dos días: 8 puntos para Obama, veremos si hacía falta para digerirlo y hoy las cosas cambian aunque quizás parece que el ciclo informativo ya ha cambiado de bando, y durará al menos una semana.

Rasmunsen le da a Obama 4 puntos y Zogby, en una encuesta realizada tras la elección de Palin, 1 a Mccain.

Qué dice Obama de Palin?

En Fox entrevistaban a una portavoz de Barack Obama, Anita Dunn, parece que la elección les tiene un poco desconcertados, nada que ver con el video de Biden con el que Mccain recibió su elección:

MARTHA MACCALLUM: we’ll bring in anita dunn. she is a senior advisor to the obama campaign. good afternoon. your campaign’s reaction to john mccain’s voice for his v.p.

ANITA DUNN: good afternoon, martha. obviously, it’s a big surprise for many people. certainly senator obama and senator biden have extended their congratulations to governor palin and welcome her voice and see her as yet another example of how the faces and the barriers in politics are changing. i think that’s a good thing. sarah palin doesn’t represent a lot of change from our perspective. she has been a huge supporter of the bush-cheney-mccain economic policies. she has been very much in line with the policies of the last eight years that have brought us to where we are today. from our perspective, we welcome her and obviously it’s exciting for her. she is not exactly a household name, as you pointed out. a big surprise. i think there are a lot of questions people across the country have about her in her record. those will be answered in the coming days.

MARTHA MACCALLUM: anita, i bet some folks would say it wasn’t until recently that barack obama wasn’t exactly a household name. he is much more than that now, looking at the huge response he got in denver last night. when you look at sarah palin, just taking it from what the other side of this coin would say, she shores up the base to a certain extent, you must admit, because she brings in conservative voters, the base with which john mccain has had some problems at this point. there are a lot of conservative folks who feel very good about this choice. she also some would hope from a mccain campaign perspective, that she will reach out to some of those woman who are not totally sold on barack obama because she has the historic stature of being the first republican woman vice-presidential nominee.

DUNN: she does shore up john mccain’s very, very conservative based problems. because as she would be the first to say, she is a very, very conservative person in terms of social views. to that extent, i think going to the hillary clinton voters of women. as debbie schulze said she is no hillary clinton. hillary clinton is someone who everyone knew was ready from day one. she had the experience. she had a record of working for equal pay, of working for women and children. she has a terrific public service record over a very long time. you know, i think sarah palin is — she is obviously a relatively young, accomplished woman. i think all of us look at that wonderful family and say you go, girl. but at the end of the day, the fact of the matter is i don’t think anybody is arguing that she is actually ready from day one and given that john mccain himself has tried to make experience such an initial this campaign, you have got to say to yourself are they kind of conceding that they have lost that argument, because at the end of the day, the choice here is between whether you’re going to have more of the same which is what john mccain is promising or whether you are going to have the change we need to make this one work for the middle class.

MACCALLUM: what they are going to say is she has more experience than barack obama who is running at the top of your ticket because she has been a governor since 2006. she has a lot of small business experience as well. she was a mayor. she has a lot more sort of managerial. she has run things. she is a governor. she is the only governor out of the four people who make up the two sides of these tickets.

DUNN: well, martha, we certainly respect her experience, but let’s be real here. barack obama has been in public service now for over a decade. the fact of the matter is that sarah palin was the part-time mayor of a town in alaska that is fewer than 10,000 people and has been governor for fewer than two years.

MACCALLUM: but when she was doing that —

DUNN: let me finish, please.

MACCALLUM: i’m playing devil’s advocate, because when she was doing that, he was a community service worker in chicago. it may not be one that is easy to argue, barack obama versus sarah palin when you’re looking at experience.

DUNN: the fact of the matter is let’s be real here, that sarah palin is a refreshing and new voice for the republican party but she espouses the same old policies. barack obama who has been in public service, who has actually done things in public service, who has expanded health care to children, who with senator dick lugar, a republican, wrote the law on nuclear nonproliferation, who has actual substantive achievements in public office, i think people are going to look at that. but they are going to look more at what kind of change do we need in this country? john stain is not going to bring the change we need because he is for just more of the same policies. for eight years, john mccain has espoused the bush economic policies.

MACCALLUM: i think you’re right to point out, in the end i do think that people will vote for the top of this ticket, whether it’s john mccain or barack obama.

DUNN: absolutely.

MACCALLUM: and what kind of sort of rounding that out each of these v.p. candidates bring to the floor. i think it will be very interesting to see sarah palin and joe biden debate. it will be an interesting exchange. anita dunn, thanks very much for talking with me today. good to speak with you.

Biden y Clinton (Bill) le dan otros 2 puntos a Obama

Gallup ha publicado su tracking diario, realizado durante la Convención, desde el martes hasta el jueves. Si ayer la ventaja era de 6 puntos hoy sube a 8 (49-41), habrá que esperar a mañana para ver si el discurso de Obama ha convencido a algunos indecisos.

La hora de Obama

Tras una intervención de Al Gore, casi una hora antes de la intervención estelear, y a Joe Biden, que triunfó con el discurso de ayer, la convención ha dejado la última media hora a ciudadanos normales, edad, género, procedencia distintas, razas variadas, posiciones políticas distintas (abundan los exrepublicanos), de situaciones personales y económicas diferentes, lo que llamaríamos el «americano medio», con apariencia descuidada y discursos medidos. Es una gran idea, que transmite el mensaje con mucha credibilidad y va al corazón del América. Congratulations!!!!

El mensaje se repite: «no podemos permitirnos cuatro años más de lo mismo» y el cambio y la esperanza, más lo primero que lo segundo.

Se va acercando el turno de Obama, aumenta la expectación y la curiosidad. El estadio repleto impresiona y la música de Bruce (Born in the USA, que ya utilizó Reagan) parece dirigida a los 30 millones de americanos que están en este momento frente a la televisión, esperando al Candidato demócrata.